Jarrod’s Kentucky Derby Day Full Card Highlights
CD 1 PURE FORCE ($5.66)
CD 2 SCYLLA ($2.98)
Double (races 1-2, $7.74)
CD 3 MINDFRAME ($2.92)
Double (races 2-3, $4.62)
Pick 3 (races 1-3, $14.20)
CD 4 Strong Quality/Kupuna Exacta (CD Best Bet #1, $81.50)
Double (races 3-4, $19.74)
Pick 3 (races 2-4, $31.04)
Pick 3 (races 3-5, $183.88)
Pick 4 (races 2-5, $339.20)
CD 6 VAHVA (CD Best Bet #2, $5.44), Exacta ($13.20)
Double (races 5-6, $47.90)
Pick 3 (races 4-6, $420.80)
CD 7 CHILI FLAG ($10.06), Exacta ($31.12), Trifecta ($143.76)
Double (races 6-7, $26.02)
Pick 3 (races 5-7, $261.76)
Pick 4 (races 4-7, $447.16)
Double (races 7-8, $196.24)
Pick 3 (races 6-8, $476.64)
CD 14 GUN PARTY ($7.36), Exacta ($46.08), Trifecta ($207.84)
KENTUCKY DERBY DAY Updated Tickets from Churchill Downs for Saturday (5-4-24)
By Jarrod Horak
CD Weather: Cloudy. Some Sun Possible. 13% chance of a Shower. High 81.
CD Best Bets (4, 6, 10, 12)
Rolling Double & Pick 3 tickets included below
Pick 4, Pick 5, and Pick 6 tickets included below
All 3-Year-Old Pick 3 tickets included below
All-Dirt Stakes Pick 5 tickets included below
Updated Wagering Strategies After Scratches
May 4 Picks:
CD 1 (MSW, 6.5f)
Primary – #2 PURE FORCE, #1 Evan On Earth
Secondary – #5 Lou’s Legacy, #6 House United, #7 Culprit, #3 Top Gun Rocket
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta 1-2/1-2-5, Trifecta 1-2-6/1-2-3-6-7/5
50 cent Pick 5 (races 1-5): 1-2-3-5-6-7/6/11/1-2-6-7-8/4-8 ($30)
CD 2 (OC-80k/2x, 8f)
Primary – #6 SCYLLA
Secondary – #8 Coppa Girl, #5 Gunesh
Wagers: Trifecta key 6/5-8, Trifecta 6/5-8/all, Trifecta 6/all/5-8
50 cent Pick 4 (races 2-5): 6/11/1-2-6-7-8/4-8-10-12-14 ($12.50)
50 cent Pick 4 (races 2-5):6/1-2-3-9-11/7/4-8-10-12-
50 cent Pick 4 (races 2-5): 6/1-2-3-9-11/1-2-6-7-8/8 ($12.50)
50 cent Pick 4 (races 2-5): 6-8/1-11/4-8/7-10 ($8)
CD 3 (OC-100k/1x, 8.5f)
Primary – #11 MINDFRAME, #1 Cartucho
Secondary – #2 Cornishman, #9 Invigorated, #3 Elephants Ear
Wagers: #11 to win, Exacta box 1-11, Trifecta key 11/1-2-3-9
50 cent Pick 5 (races 3-7): 1-11/1-6-7/8/1-7-10/3-6-7-11-
CD 4 (Knicks Go Overnight, 8f) – CD Best Bet
Primary – #7 KUPUNA, #6 Best Actor
Secondary – #1 Strong Quality, #8 Strava, #2 Denington
Wagers: #7 to win, Exacta 7/1-6, Exacta 1-6/7, Trifecta 1-6-7/1-2-6-7-8/2-8
50 cent Pick 4 (races 4-7): 7/4-8-10-12-14/10/1-3-6-7-8-
50 cent Pick 4 (races 4-7): 1-2-6-7-8/8/10/1-3-6-7-8-11-12 ($17.50)
50 cent Pick 4 (races 4-7): 1-2-6-7-8/4-8-10-12-14/10/3 ($12.50)
50 cent All-Dirt Stakes Pick 5 (CD 4, CD 6, CD 8, CD 10, CD 12): 1-6-7/7-10/7-8-11-12/4-6-11/2-
CD 5 (G2 Twin Spires Turf Sprint, 5.5T)
Primary – #8 MISCHIEF MAGIC, #4 Motorious
Secondary – #10 Big Invasion, #14 Cogburn, #12 Arrest Me Red
Wagers: #8 to win, Exacta box 4-8, Trifecta 4-8/4-8-10-12-14/4-8-10-12-14
50 cent Pick 5 (races 5-9): 4-8/1-7-9-10/3-6-11/7-8-11-12/
CD 6 (G1 Derby City Distaff, 7f) – CD Best Bet
Primary – #10 VAHVA, #7 Alva Starr
Secondary – #1 Three Witches, #9 Red Carpet Ready
Wagers: #10 to win, Exacta 10/1-7, Exacta 1-7/10, Trifecta 7-10/1-7-9-10/1-7-9-10
50 cent Pick 4 (races 6-9): 10/3/5-7-8-11-12/5-11-12-14 ($10)
50 cent Pick 4 (races 6-9): 10/1-3-6-7-8-11-12/8/5-11-12-
50 cent Pick 4 (races 6-9): 10/1-3-6-7-8-11-12/5-7-8-11-
50 cent Pick 4 (races 6-9): 7-10/3-11/8-12/5-14 ($8)
CD 7 (G2 Distaff Turf Mile, 8T)
Primary – #3 CHILI FLAG, #11 Coppice
Secondary – #6 Delahaye, #12 Mission of Joy, #8 Heavenly Sunday, #1 Ag Bullet, #7 Evvie Jets
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta 3/6-11, Exacta 6-11/3, Trifecta 3/6-8-11-12/1-6-7-8-11-12
20 cent Derby City 6 (races 7-12): 3-6-11/8-12/5-14/4-6-11/6-11/
CD 8 (G2 Pat Day Mile, 8f)
Primary – #8 TOP CONOR, #12 Nash
Secondary – #7 Who Dey, #11 Vlahos, #5 Seize the Grey
Wagers: #8 to win, Trifecta key 8/5-7-11-12, Trifecta 5-7-11-12/8/5-7-11-12, Trifecta 7-8-11-12/7-8-11-12/5
50 cent Pick 5 (races 8-12): 5-7-8-11-12/5/4-6-11/1-4-5-6-
$3 All 3yo Pick 3 (CD 8, CD 9, CD 12): 8/5/2-4-8-11-17 ($15)
$3 All 3yo Pick 3 (CD 8, CD 9, CD 12): 8/5-11-12-14/2 ($12)
$3 All 3yo Pick 3 (CD 8, CD 9, CD 12): 5-7-8-11-12/5/2 ($15)
CD 9 (G2 American Turf, 8.5T)
Primary – #5 LEGEND OF TIME, #14 Agate Road
Secondary – #11 Cugino, #12 Abrumar
Wagers: #5 to win, Exacta box 1-14, Trifecta 1-14/1-11-12-14/1-11-12-14
50 cent Pick 4 (races 9-12): 5-11-12-14/4-6-10-11/1-4-5-6-
CD 10 (G1 Churchill Downs, 7f) – CD Best Bet
Primary – #4 MR. WIRELESS, #11 Hoist the Gold
Secondary – #6 Zozos, #2 Tejano Twist, #10 Gun Pilot
Wagers: #4 to win, Exacta 4/6-11, Exacta 6-11/4, Trifecta 4-11/2-4-6-11/2-4-6-10-11, Trifecta 4/all/2-10
50 cent Pick 5 (races 10-14): 2-4-6-10-11/6/2-8-17/2-7/1-3-6 ($45)
CD 11 (G1 Turf Classic, 9T)
Primary – #6 I’M VERY BUSY, #11 Naval Power
Secondary – #5 Program Trading, #1 Integration, #7 Webslinger, #4 Far Bridge
Wagers: #6 to win, Exacta 6/5-11, Exacta 5-11/6, Trifecta 6-11/1-4-5-6-11/4-7, Superfecta 6-11/6-11/1-4-5-7/1-4-5-7
50 cent Pick 4 (races 11-14): 5-6-11/2-4-8-17/2-7/1-3-6-12 ($48)
CD 12 (G1 Kentucky Derby, 10f) – CD Best Bet
Primary – #2 SIERRA LEONE, #8 Just a Touch
Secondary – #17 Fierceness, #4 Catching Freedom, #11 Forever Young
Win Wagers ($100):
$100 to win #2 Sierra Leone
For those wanting to make an across the board bet, I like using the win-insurance formula. For every $2 you bet to win, play $4 to place and $12 to show. $2 win, $4 place, $12 show ($18 total), and you can double or triple that wager, etc.
—————
EXACTA ($100)
$15 Exacta Box 2-8 ($30)
$10 Exacta 2-17 ($10)
$8 Exacta 2/4-7-19 ($18)
$6 Exacta 17/4-7-19 ($18)
$4 Exacta 8/4-17-19 ($12)
$4 Exacta 4-11-19/2 ($12)
—————
TRIFECTA ($100)
$8 Trifecta 2/8-17/4-7-8-17-19 ($64)
$6 Trifecta key 17/2-4-19 ($36)
—————
SUPERFECTA ($100)
$1 Superfecta: 2/4-7/4-7/3-6-8-11-15-17-18-19 ($16)
$1 Superfecta: 2/4-7/3-6-8-11-15-17-18-19/4-7 ($16)
$1 Superfecta: 2/3-6-8-11-15-17-18-19/4-7/4-7 ($16)
$1 Superfecta: 2-8/2-8-17/2-4-8-17/2-4-7-8-
$1 Superfecta: 17/2-4/2-4-7-8/2-4-7-8 ($12)
————
SUPER HIGH 5 ($20)
$1 SUPER HIGH FIVE: 8-11/3-6-8-11-18-19/2-4/2-4/7 ($20)
—————
CD 13 (OC-100k/1x, 7f)
Primary – #2 DISCREET MISCHIEF, #7 Jefferson Street
Secondary – #14 Yellow Card, #6 Devilsgotcause
Wagers: #2 to win, Exacta 2/7-9, Exacta 7-9/2, Trifecta 2-9/2-6-7-14/2-6-7-14
CD 14 (MSW, 8f)
Primary – #3 GUN PARTY, #1 Dive Bomber
Secondary – #6 Banned for Life, #12 Timeout
Wagers: #3 to win, Exacta 3/1-6-12, Exacta 1-6-12/3, Trifecta 1-3/1-3-6-12/1-3-6-12
Rolling Daily Double & Pick 3 Contenders – in order of preference:
1 (2-1-5-6-7-3)
2 (6-4-8)
3 (11-1-2-9-3)
4 (7-6-1-8-2)
5 (8-4-10-14-12)
6 (10-7-1-9)
7 (3-11-6-12-8-1-7)
8 (8-12-7-11-5)
9 (5-14-11-12)
10 (4-11-6-2-10)
11 (6-11-5-1-7-4)
12 (2-8-17-4-11)
13 (2-7-14-6)
14 (3-1-6-12)
ROLLING DAILY DOUBLE/PICK 3 WAGERING STRATEGIES
For Rolling Doubles and Pick 3 tickets, key the top choice in each race to all other contenders. See examples below:
Double (Race 1-2):
Ticket 1 (2-6)
Ticket 2 (2/4-6-8)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-5-6-7/6)
Double (Races 2-3):
Ticket 1 (6-11)
Ticket 2 (6/1-2-3-9-11)
Ticket 3 (4-6-8/11)
Pick 3 (Race 1-3):
Ticket 1 (2-6-11)
Ticket 2 (2/4-6-8/1-2-3-9-11)
Ticket 3 (1-2-3-5-6-7/6/1-2-3-9-11)
Ticket 4 (1-2-3-5-6-7/4-6-8/11)
