Check out my Thursday (8-1-24) Del Mar Race 4 analysis below.
DMR 4 (OC-40k, 5T) – Post Time 6:35pm EDT
Primary – #5 JUST NAILS, #8 Gem Mine
Secondary – #1 Headed for Om, #2 Excelia, #7 Make It Snow
Horse Comments:
#5 Just Nails (5-2) has been a bit unlucky since moving to the Doug O’Neill barn this year. She landed the place in 3 of 4 turf starts this season and was on the wrong end of the win photo twice. The early-pressing mare battled on the pace and graduated at this course and distance last summer. Antonio Fresu stays put and she has been freshened for this, and she puts blinkers back on. Look for her to show early speed in this spot.
#8 Gem Mine (4-1) completed the exacta in both local turf starts at five panels. She returns to the Richard Baltas barn and figures to stalk the pace from the outside post.
#1 Headed for Om (6-1) has been freshened for this and her overall turf form is solid. She rallied to graduate at 5T in her first start after the John Sadler claim on March 9. She stalked the pace and finished third at 6.5T on April 7, and stalked and scored at 6T on May 3. Last time, she stalked and weakened at 6T. She improved her numbers in her first four starts and regressed on June 7. She reconnects with her April 7 pilot Juan Hernandez and can bounce back.
#2 Excelia (7-2) completed the trifecta in her last two starts at 6T and 6.5T. Hector Berrios got to know her in a neck defeat on May 5 and she was a head behind Just Nails that day.
#7 Make It Snow (8-1) is 1-for-9 with seven minor awards, and she hit the board in both starts at this course and distance. The $185k daughter of Empire Maker can get a piece of this.
Wagers:
#5 to win
Quinella 5/1-8
Trifecta 1-2-5-8/1-2-5-8/7
Superfecta key 5/1-2-7-8
Recent 2024 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners
July 12 – Miss Justify ($7.50)
July 13 – Whitebeam ($11.60)
July 14 – Star of Mystery ($3.30), Trifecta ($22.60)
July 16 – Toolcat ($14.20), Trifecta ($74.40)
July 18 – The Big Torpedo/Courtly Banker/Fedelightcayut Trifecta ($27.60)
July 19 – Unmatched Wisdom ($2.80)
July 20 – Formidable Man/Guy Named Joe Quinella ($20.40)
July 25 – Midnight Mammoth/Reincarnate Exacta ($24.20)
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