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Check out my Sunday (7-5-26) Saratoga Race Course Race 5 analysis below.

SAR 5 (Mcl-55k, 8.5T) – Post Time 3:30 PM ET
Primary – #8 CAPRICIOUS OUTCOME, #6 Crowned Moment
Secondary – #7 Inherent Promise, #5 Languid, #2 Dynadee

Horse Comments:

#8 Capricious Outcome (8-5) finished fourth in his last two MSW turf routes and Chad Brown is 27% with this type of dropper. Flavien Prat climbs aboard and he is 3-for-7 with this outfit recently.

#6 Crowned Moment (6-1) is a FTS for Miguel Clement and he is a profitable 27% with his debut turf starters. They paid $430k for this one and Kingman is 18% with first turf runners, and dam has tossed two turf winners.

#7 Inherent Promise (7-2) hit the board in his last three routes at GP. He is 0-for-16 with seven minor awards and is probably best used underneath.

#5 Languid (8-1) is back on turf for Rick Dutrow and he completed the trifecta in both maiden claiming turf attempts. He reconnects with John Velazquez and projects a stalking trip.

#2 Dynadee (5-1) dropped to this level and set the pace and held the place June 11 (first lasix). He reconnects with Jose Lezcano and should impact the pace in his third start off the bench. Michael Dini is a profitable 19% with his second lasix starters.

Wagers:

#8 to win

Exacta 6-8/6-7-8

Trifecta 2-5-6-8/2-5-6-8/7

Superfecta key 8/2-5-6-7

Recent 2026 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners
June 18 – Lady Rose ($2.86)
June 19 – Watch Over Us/Cammy’s Girl Exacta ($12.00)
June 20 – Twisted Humor/Perfect Smile Exacta ($5.60)
June 24 – Movie Night/Wrong Shoes/Highgrove Trifecta ($24.28)
June 26 – Supernal ($5.40), Exacta ($43.60)
June 27 – Bring the Smoke ($6.42)
June 30 – Margin of Air/Elusive Target Exacta ($7.80)
July 1 – Kappa Kappa ($2.20)
July 3 – Anyway ($5.34)

*All winning wagers based on $2 payoffs unless noted otherwise.

Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my full cards.

Jarrod Horak

Jarrod Horak posts stakes recaps from Del Mar and Santa Anita Park, along with full card recaps and free stakes picks from Southern and/or Northern California.