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Check out my Wednesday (6-12-24) Churchill Downs Race 8 analysis below.

CD 8 (OC-100k/3x, 3&up, 8.5f) – Post Time 4:22pm EDT
Primary – #5 MIDNIGHT RISING, #6 Warrior Johny
Secondary – #4 Salute the Stars, #7 Super Corinto

Horse Comments:

#5 Midnight Rising (7-2) moved to dirt and won in the mud at 15-1 odds on Jan. 6, and stalked and scored on fast dirt as the favorite on March 2. He stalked while rank and weakened in the stretch as the beaten favorite in the G3 Oaklawn Mile on March 30. Jordan Blair shows a profit with this type of layoff runner and Tyler Gaffalione hops aboard the tactical Mendelssohn gelding. He goes back on lasix and sports four local works for this. 

#6 Warrior Johny (5-1) likes this oval and might be rounding back into form. He stretched back out and finished an improved third at 22-1 odds on May 11, and might move forward in his third start after a long layoff. 

#4 Salute the Stars (3-1) graduated in a turf route for John Ortiz in 2022. He moved to the Brad Cox barn last year and won a pair of dirt routes including a neck victory over Kingsbarns in the Pegasus Stakes. He stalked and faded in the G1 Haskell, and chased and weakened in the G3 Virginia Derby (key race) on turf. He reconnects with his winning rider Florent Geroux and this is his first start in more than nine months. His weakness last year was failing to settle and getting rank. 

#7 Super Corinto (8-1) was a strong campaigner in South America, and shipped to Gulfstream and ran well in a pair of races in 2022. He was dusted in the G1 Dubai World Cup last year, and returned from a long layoff to finish 8th of 9 (beaten 21 lengths) in the G2 New Orleans on March 23. He used to be better than this group but his recent conditioning is unknown. 


#5 to win

Exacta box 5-6

Trifecta 4-5-6-7/4-5-6-7

June 2024 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners 
June 2 – Chismosa ($8.60)
June 4 – Gun Collector/Bazinga D/Picture This Trifecta ($137.40)
June 8 – Measured Time ($8.20), Trifecta ($148.48)
June 11 – Rock N Reward ($8.00), Trifecta ($61.20)

Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my Santa Anita Park analysis. 

Jarrod Horak

Jarrod Horak posts stakes recaps from Del Mar and Santa Anita Park, along with full card recaps and free stakes picks from Southern and/or Northern California.

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