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Check out my Wednesday (6-4-25) Saratoga Race 6 analysis below.

SAR 6 (Bouwerie, NY-bred, 7f) – Post Time 3:26 PM ET
Primary – #7 KAY CUP
Secondary – #6 Valtellina, #2 Bernieandtherose, #5 Accelerating

Horse Comments:

#7 Kay Cup (9-5) stalked the pace and was a clear third at 8-1 odds in her local 7f bow last summer (Valtellina 1st). The $100k Instagrand filly disappeared for 7+ months and returned with a sharp win as the strong favorite at AQU April 27, and the clear, distant show finisher was a next-out winner. She drew a comfortable post and Irad Ortiz, Jr. should have her in a nice tactical spot, and Jorge Abreu is a profitable 22% in the non-graded ranks.

#6 Valtellina (5-2) exits back-to-back flat mile wins and I like her tactical speed. She beat Kay Cup in her career debut at this course/distance last summer.

#2 Bernieandtherose (3-1) finished a close third in her 6.5f bow and she won all four starts since (2 wins at 7f – 2 wins at 8f). These longer sprints around one turn are right up her alley and she might be able to win her third straight state bred stakes race.

#5 Accelerating (5-1) wired the field in both local state bred starts at 6f last summer under Jose Ortiz, and was up the track in both 2025 outings at OP. Steve Asmussen’s $325k Mitole filly is back with NY-breds in her third start after a layoff and she should impact the pace at her winning venue.

Wagers:

#7 to win

Exacta box 6-7

Trifecta key 7/2-5-6

Recent Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners 
May 23 – Favor to You ($4.20), Exacta ($7.40), Trifecta ($25.40)
May 24 – Sneaker ($6.60)
May 25 – Catch the Breeze ($9.00), Exacta ($30.40), Trifecta ($80.00)
May 28 – Grounded ($5.40), Trifecta ($188.00)
June 1 – Bit’s Tiger Magic/Breve/Blue Wildcat Trifecta ($103.00)
June 2 – Captain Courtney/Kiss Blue Exacta ($9.00), Trifecta ($30.80)

Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my full cards.

Jarrod Horak

Jarrod Horak posts stakes recaps from Del Mar and Santa Anita Park, along with full card recaps and free stakes picks from Southern and/or Northern California.