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Check out my Monday (10-20-25) Presque Isle Downs Race 7 analysis below.

PID 7 (OC-40k/2x, 3&up, 1 mile 70 yards all-weather) – Post Time  6:12 PM ET
Primary – #7 HE’S A MESS, #3 Twilight Dancer
Secondary – #5 Adios Buccaneer, #6 Extrasexybigdaddee

Horse Comments:

#7 He’s a Mess (5-2) was claimed for $25k by Scooter Davis on June 16 and he was a distant third that day (first start in 7+ months). He romped as the favorite in a local route on July 9 and clicked right back in the Hard Spun Stakes on July 21. He was third in the Whisman Memorial on Aug. 11 and 7th of 9 in the Presque Isle Mile. He added blinkers and rallied to finish a clear third at this course/distance on Sept. 30. His winning winning rider Rosario Montanez stays put and he has good stats with this outfit.

#3 Twilight Dancer (9-5) landed the place in three straight races in June (Optional-Claiming), July (Hard Spun), and August (Avery Whisman Memorial), and exits a 5th of 8 in the Presque Isle Mile. He won four races at Presque Isle last year including the Hard Spun Stakes and is 0-for-4 in 2025.  

#5 Adios Buccaneer (6-1) was part of the trifecta in ten of twelve starts this year (12 3-5-2). He scored at 7-1 odds at this course distance on Sept. 3, and he stalked the pace and finished third at 9-1 odds in a local route on Sept. 24. 

#6 Extrasexybigdaddee (9-2) rallied for the place in a local OC-17.5k route on Sept. 19 and Scooter Davis claimed him that day. He rallied to split an 8-horse field on Sept. 30 and his stablemate He’s a Mess was third that day. The veteran gelding finished in the top three in 22 of 28 local starts. 

Wagers:

#7 to win

Exacta box 3-7

Trifecta 3-7/3-5-6-7/3-5-6-7

October 2025 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners 
Oct. 1 – Night Nurse/Inanna’s Quest Exacta ($19.20)
Oct. 2 – Going Up ($4.40)
Oct. 10 – Betterdaysrcoming/Jetovator/Simplexity Trifecta ($25.20)
Oct. 11 – One Magic Philly ($4.68), Exacta ($11.88), Trifecta ($41.44)
Oct. 13 – Vibez ($7.20), Exacta ($15.40)
Oct. 15 – Arya Stark ($2.88), Trifecta ($16.80)
Oct. 16 – Proctor Street ($4.26), Trifecta ($115.32)
Oct. 17 – Frog ($4.60)

Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my full cards.

Jarrod Horak

Jarrod Horak posts stakes recaps from Del Mar and Santa Anita Park, along with full card recaps and free stakes picks from Southern and/or Northern California.