Check out my Monday (10-20-25) Presque Isle Downs Race 7 analysis below.
PID 7 (OC-40k/2x, 3&up, 1 mile 70 yards all-weather) – Post Time 6:12 PM ET
Primary – #7 HE’S A MESS, #3 Twilight Dancer
Secondary – #5 Adios Buccaneer, #6 Extrasexybigdaddee
Horse Comments:
#7 He’s a Mess (5-2) was claimed for $25k by Scooter Davis on June 16 and he was a distant third that day (first start in 7+ months). He romped as the favorite in a local route on July 9 and clicked right back in the Hard Spun Stakes on July 21. He was third in the Whisman Memorial on Aug. 11 and 7th of 9 in the Presque Isle Mile. He added blinkers and rallied to finish a clear third at this course/distance on Sept. 30. His winning winning rider Rosario Montanez stays put and he has good stats with this outfit.
#3 Twilight Dancer (9-5) landed the place in three straight races in June (Optional-Claiming), July (Hard Spun), and August (Avery Whisman Memorial), and exits a 5th of 8 in the Presque Isle Mile. He won four races at Presque Isle last year including the Hard Spun Stakes and is 0-for-4 in 2025.
#5 Adios Buccaneer (6-1) was part of the trifecta in ten of twelve starts this year (12 3-5-2). He scored at 7-1 odds at this course distance on Sept. 3, and he stalked the pace and finished third at 9-1 odds in a local route on Sept. 24.
#6 Extrasexybigdaddee (9-2) rallied for the place in a local OC-17.5k route on Sept. 19 and Scooter Davis claimed him that day. He rallied to split an 8-horse field on Sept. 30 and his stablemate He’s a Mess was third that day. The veteran gelding finished in the top three in 22 of 28 local starts.
Wagers:
#7 to win
Exacta box 3-7
Trifecta 3-7/3-5-6-7/3-5-6-7
October 2025 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners
Oct. 1 – Night Nurse/Inanna’s Quest Exacta ($19.20)
Oct. 2 – Going Up ($4.40)
Oct. 10 – Betterdaysrcoming/Jetovator/Simplexity Trifecta ($25.20)
Oct. 11 – One Magic Philly ($4.68), Exacta ($11.88), Trifecta ($41.44)
Oct. 13 – Vibez ($7.20), Exacta ($15.40)
Oct. 15 – Arya Stark ($2.88), Trifecta ($16.80)
Oct. 16 – Proctor Street ($4.26), Trifecta ($115.32)
Oct. 17 – Frog ($4.60)
Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my full cards.
