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Check out my Wednesday (11-11-26) Churchill Downs Race 6 analysis below.

Scratches (race 6): #3 – Mom’s Cheesecake, #10 Faire Plasir

Updated Tickets After Scratches:

CD 6 (Str-Alw-30k, F&M, 8f dirt) – Post Time 3:26 PM ET
Primary – #9 CARA FELCE, #6 Lost Chord
Secondary – #5 Hold My Halo

Horse Comments:

#9 Cara Felce (6-1) rallied to win a Mcl-30k turf route by 3 lengths in February and Paul McGee claimed her that day. She resurfaced at this course and distance Sept. 20, and she stalked and scored by 3 lengths. She battled through below par splits and was second best as the favorite at 1 1/16 miles Oct. 14. She is back at her winning course and distance for 29% third off a layoff trainer McGee. Her winning rider Rafael Bejarano stays put and a stalking trip is expected.

#6 Lost Chord (9-2) aired by 10 lengths as the chalk in a dirt route at KEE Oct. 10 and Robertino Diodoro claimed her that day. She graduated at this course and distance in June and should be right up on the pace.

#5 Hold My Halo (10-1) got the wrong setup when finishing third at 1 1/6 miles Oct. 14 (Cara Felce 2nd). She has struck twice at this distance on all-weather ground, and she fired trifecta shots in her last four outings.

#10 Faire Plaisir (5-2) was part of the trifecta in all four local starts including a late running victory when last seen November 2025. She will try to get involved late in a race she might need. 

Wagers:

#9 to win

Exacta 6-9/5-6-9

Trifecta 6-9/all/5

Recent 2026 Bettor Bet$ Free Pick Winners
Oct. 12 – TIRUPATI ($8.00)
Oct. 13 – Celestial Speed/Rock Tune Exacta ($6.00)
Oct. 14 – JACK AND JIM ($7.44)
Oct. 15 – SHOWA ($12.44), Exacta ($23.68), Trifecta ($69.36)
Oct. 16 – KOOL MARIAH ($5.40), Trifecta ($44.00)
Oct. 17 – TIMAYYYY ($4.60)
Oct. 18 – Known Idea ($6.00), Exacta ($16.00)
Oct. 22 – Atropa/Maria Louise Exacta ($35.48)
Oct. 23 – HEY LIL LASY ($3.80), Exacta ($16.00)
Oct. 25 – CHISELED IN STONE ($7.40), Trifecta ($81.40)
Oct. 29 – White Whale/Guardian Exacta ($11.28)
Nov. 2 – Welovemollynteddy/Flying Free Exacta ($3.80)
Nov. 3 – Nikki’s Charm/Okie Den Den Exacta ($13.00)
Nov. 4 – BEING MYSELF ($13.08)
Nov. 5 – TWO EAGLES RIVER ($6.42), Trifecta ($41.68)
Nov. 6 –
Green Carrera/Deucari/Jordi Bear Trifecta ($74.00)

*All winning wagers based on $2 payoffs unless noted otherwise.

Please visit The Runaway Horse Shop to purchase my full cards.

Jarrod Horak

Jarrod Horak posts stakes recaps from Del Mar and Santa Anita Park, along with full card recaps and free stakes picks from Southern and/or Northern California.